Selena Gomez’s chances at earning her first acting nomination at the Oscars could now be ruined. Although she is perhaps best known as a pop star and businesswoman, Gomez has also been an actor since she was a child. After being cast on Barney & Friends in the early 2000s, she went on to play roles in a variety of prominent film and television projects, including Wizards of Waverly Place, Only Murders in the Building, Hotel Transylvania, and Spring Breakers.

However, she delivered one of her best performances yet after joining the Emilia Pérez cast. The 2024 Jacques Audiard musical, which also stars Zoe Saldaña and Karla Sofía Gascón, sees Gomez playing the wife of a Mexican cartel leader. In addition to allowing her to showcase her musical chops in performances of songs such as the Oscar-shortlisted “Mi Camino,” the movie has allowed her to be considered an Oscar frontrunner for Best Supporting Actress for quite some time during a pop star-heavy year that also includes a strong awards season run for Ariana Grande-Butera’s performance as Glinda in Wicked.

The SAG Awards Push Selena Gomez Further Out Of The Oscars 2025 Race

Her Emilia Pérez Performance Is Not Gaining Steam

It remains to be seen how Gomez fares when the 2025 Oscar nominations are announced on January 19. However, the Screen Actors Guild Awards have snubbed the multi-hyphenate star, not giving her a nomination at all. Though she gained some traction early on with an acting nomination for Emilia Pérez at the Golden Globes, being shut out of the SAG Best Supporting Actress category – which includes Monica Barbaro (A Complete Unknown), Jamie Lee Curtis (The Last Showgirl), Danielle Deadwyler (The Piano Lesson), Ariana Grande-Butera (Wicked), and Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez) – could bring Gomez’s prospects to a screeching halt.

Could Selena Gomez Still Get An Oscars Nomination For Best Supporting Actress?

Her Chances Are Dwindling

Selena Gomez’s co-star Zoe Saldaña’s win for Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Golden Globes could indicate that Saldaña will continue dominating the conversation over Gomez in that category. Furthermore, the SAG Awards tend to be a good predictor for the eventual Best Supporting Actress Oscar winner. While a few nominees tend to differ every year, there have only been eight years when the Best Supporting Actress winner has differed between the two ceremonies since the SAG Awards began in 1995. See a breakdown of those instances below:

While this statistic does not preclude Selena Gomez from earning an Oscar nomination, it makes a Zoe Saldaña win much more likely, especially considering the fact that the two ceremonies have only differed once in the past 16 years. This trajectory may be enough to push Saldaña’s co-star out of consideration entirely. This may be why GoldDerby now has Gomez ranked as the eighth most likely Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominee, when at other points she has been considerably higher.